Research

• News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations (with Adam Shapiro and Daniel Wilson) Last revised, April 2025

• Revisiting the Expectations of Others    (with Kyle Jurado) Last revised, April 2025

• Risky Business Cycles  (with Susanto Basu, Giacomo Candian, and Rosen Valchev)    Last revised, September 2024

• Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited  (with Vito Cormun, Pierre De Leo, Pablo Guerron-Quintana, Rosen Valchev)   Last revised, June 2024

Research Statement

• The Dollar in an Era of International Retrenchment  (with Rosen Valchev)     Working paper    Replication

IMF Economic Review; September 2024

• Anticipated Productivity and the Labor Market (with Sanjay Chugh and Tristan Potter)   Working paper   Online Appendix    Replication

Quantitative Economics; July 2023

• Robust Predictions for DSGE Models with Incomplete Information (with Robert Ulbricht)    Working Paper     Replication

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics; January 2023

• Trade Finance and the Durability of the Dollar (with Rosen Valchev)    Working Paper   Online Appendix    Replication

Review of Economic Studies; July 2022

• Recoverability and Expectations-Driven Fluctuations  (with Kyle Jurado)    Working Paper  FAQ  Replication    

Review of Economic Studies; January 2022

• Sectoral Media Focus and Aggregate Fluctuations (with Kristoffer Nimark and Stefan Pitschner)    Working Paper    Supplementary material    coverage: Phys.org   Econ Focus

American Economic Review; December 2021

• Learning from House Prices: Amplification and Business Fluctuations (with Gaetano Gaballo)    Working Paper  Replication    substantially different original draft    

Review of Economic Studies; July 2021

• Optimal Foresight    (with Kyle Jurado)    Working Paper    

 Journal of Monetary Economics; March 2021

• Price Dispersion and the Border Effect  (with Luminita Stevens)    Working Paper    Replication   

 Journal of Monetary Economics; December 2020

• Intersectoral Linkages, Diverse Information, and Aggregate Dynamics (with Manoj Atolia)    Working Paper    Online Appendix    Replication    

Review of Economic Dynamics; April 2020 

• Good News is Bad News: Leverage Cycles and Sudden Stops (with Ozge Akinci)    Working Paper    Replication    Liberty Street Blog     

Journal of International Economics; September 2018 

• News or Noise? The Missing Link (with Kyle Jurado)     Working Paper   Replication

American Economic Review; July 2018

• Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Customer Markets (with David Arseneau, Sanjay  Chugh, and Alan Shapiro)    Working Paper    Replication

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking; June 2015

• Optimal Capital Taxation and Consumer Uncertainty (with Justin Svec)    Working Paper   Replication

Journal of Macroeconomics; September 2014

• Public Communication and Information Acquisition    Working Paper

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics; July 2014

• A Model-Based Evaluation of the Debate on the Size of the Tax Multiplier (with Martín Uribe and Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé)    NBER Working Paper   Replication

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy; May 2012 

• Sales and Price Spikes in Retail Scanner Data    Working Paper   Replication

Economics Letters; February 2011

• Discussion of "The Supply and Demand for Safe Assets" by Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordonez (presented at the 2020 Barcelona GSE: Asset Prices, Finance and Macroeconomics)

• Discussion of "Rational Inattention in Hiring Decisions" by Sushant Acharya and Shu Lin Wee  (presented at 2017 Advances on Information Frictions in Business Cycles, Villars, Switzerland)

• Discussion of "The Anatomy of Sentiment-Driven Fluctuations" by Sushant Acharya, Jess Benhabib, and Zhen Huo (presented at 2017 Yale Cowles Foundations Meeting)

• Discussion of "Supply Chain Disruptions: Evidence from the Great East Japan Earthquake" by Vasco M. Carvalho, Makoto Nirei, Yukiko U. Saito, Alireza Tahbaz-Saleh (presented at 2016 NBER Summer Sessions)

• Discussion of "The Tail that Wags the Economy" by Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, Venky Venkateswaran (presented at 2016 Fordham University, Macro/International Finance Workshop)

• Discussion of "Reviving the Limit Cycle View of Macroeconomic Fluctuations" by Paul Beaudry, Dana Galizia, and Franck Portier  (presented at 2016 AEA Meetings)

• Discussion of "Gradualism in Monetary Policy: A Time-Consistency Problem" by Jeremy Stein and Adi Sunderam (presented at the 2015 Federal Reserve Board Conference on Monetary Policy Implementation and Transmission in the Post-Crisis Period)

• Discussion of "Efficient Sovereign Default" by Alessandro Dovis (presented at 2013 Becker-Friedman Institute MFM Conference)

• Discussion of "Indeterminacy and Learning" by Thomas Lubik and Christian Matthes (presented at 2013 Federal Reserve System Meeting on Research in Macroeconomics)

• Secret Ingredients? The Informational Contribution of Factors to Standard VAR Analysis    August 2010

• Optimal Monetary Policy in a Model with Customer Markets (with Ozge Akinci)    October 2009

• A Principal Components Approach to Estimating Labor Market Pressure and its Implications for Inflation (with Michelle L. Barnes, Giovanni Olivei, and Jenny Tang)    December 2007